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Wealth Effect

  • Also called real balance effect
  • Lower price level -> households' real wealth increases -> more consumption
  • Higher price level -> real wealth decreases -> less consumption
  • Helps explain downward slope of AD curve

Interest Rate Effect

  • Lower price level -> households need less money for transactions -> money demand decreases -> interest rates fall -> investment increases
  • Higher price level -> money demand increases -> interest rates rise -> investment decreases
  • Strongest of the three effects for downward-sloping AD

Exchange Rate Effect

  • Lower price level -> lower interest rates -> capital outflows -> currency depreciates -> exports increase, imports decrease -> net exports increase
  • Higher price level -> higher interest rates -> currency appreciates -> net exports decrease
  • Also called international trade effect

Shifters Of Ad

ComponentAD Increases (Rightward Shift)AD Decreases (Leftward Shift)
Consumption (C)Income up , wealth up , consumer confidence up , taxes downIncome down , wealth down , confidence down , taxes up
Investment (I)Interest rates down , expected profits up , technology up , business taxes downInterest rates up , expected profits down , taxes up
Government (G)Expansionary fiscal policy (G up )Contractionary fiscal policy (G down )
Net Exports (NX)Foreign income up , exchange rate down (depreciation)Foreign income down , exchange rate up (appreciation)

Marginal Propensity To Consume / Mpc

  • Fraction of additional income that households spend on consumption
  • MPC = DeltaC / DeltaY (change in consumption ÷ change in income)
  • Typically ranges from 0.6 to 0.9 in US
  • Higher MPC -> larger multiplier effect

Marginal Propensity To Save / Mps

  • Fraction of additional income that households save
  • MPS = DeltaS / DeltaY (change in savings ÷ change in income)
  • MPC + MPS = 1 (all income either consumed or saved)

Spending Multiplier Formula

Spending Multiplier=11MPC=1MPS\text{Spending Multiplier} = \frac{1}{1 - MPC} = \frac{1}{MPS}

ΔReal GDP=Spending Multiplier×ΔSpending\Delta \text{Real GDP} = \text{Spending Multiplier} \times \Delta \text{Spending}

  • Example: If MPC = 0.8, multiplier = 1/0.2 = 5
  • 100increaseingovernmentspending>100 increase in government spending -> 500 increase in GDP
  • Initial spending respends through economy, creating multiplied effect

Tax Multiplier Formula

Tax Multiplier=MPC1MPC=MPCMPS\text{Tax Multiplier} = -\frac{MPC}{1 - MPC} = -\frac{MPC}{MPS}

  • Always smaller than spending multiplier in absolute value
  • Negative: tax cut increases GDP, tax increase decreases GDP
  • Part of tax cut is saved, not spent, so smaller effect
  • Example: If MPC = 0.8, tax multiplier = -0.8/0.2 = -4
  • 100taxcut>100 tax cut -> 400 increase in GDP (less than 500from500 from 100 spending increase)

Sras Curves

  • Upward sloping: as price level increases, real GDP supplied increases
  • Positive relationship between price level and output in short run
  • Sticky wages and prices explain upward slope
  • Nominal wages are slow to adjust to price changes

Lras Curves

  • Vertical at potential GDP (full employment output)
  • Price level does not affect real output in long run
  • Represents economy's maximum sustainable output
  • Also called long-run aggregate supply

Determinants Of Sras

FactorSRAS Increases (Rightward)SRAS Decreases (Leftward)
Input PricesWages down , oil prices down , raw materials downWages up , oil prices up , raw materials up
ProductivityTechnology up , education up , infrastructure upTechnology down (rare)
RegulationsBusiness-friendly policies, tax cutsStricter regulations, environmental restrictions
ExpectationsExpected inflation downExpected inflation up
Supply ShocksGood weather, trade liberalizationNatural disasters, trade restrictions

Sticky Wages And Prices

  • Sticky wages: Nominal wages adjust slowly due to contracts, unions, worker morale
  • Sticky prices: Menu costs, price coordination problems cause slow adjustment
  • Explains why SRAS slopes upward: when price level rises, real wages fall (in short run), making labor cheaper, increasing employment and output
  • In long run, wages and prices fully adjust -> vertical LRAS

Shifters Of Sras

  • Input price changes (wages, oil, materials)
  • Productivity changes (technology, human capital)
  • Supply shocks (natural disasters, wars)
  • Institutional changes (regulations, taxes)
  • Expected inflation changes

Vertical Lras Curve

  • At potential GDP (full employment output)
  • Economy at natural rate of unemployment
  • No cyclical unemployment
  • Price level changes do not affect real output in long run
  • Determined by resources, technology, institutions

Relationship Between Lras And Ppc

  • Both show potential output of economy
  • PPC shows trade-offs between two goods
  • LRAS shows potential GDP (single number)
  • PPC shifts right -> LRAS shifts right (economic growth)
  • Both determined by resources, technology, institutions

Short-run Equilibrium

  • Where AD intersects SRAS
  • Determines actual price level and real GDP
  • May be above or below potential GDP
  • Can have recessionary or inflationary gaps
  • Economy automatically adjusts toward long-run equilibrium

Long-run Equilibrium

  • AD, SRAS, and LRAS all intersect at same point
  • Real GDP = potential GDP
  • Unemployment = natural rate
  • No pressure for price level or output to change
  • Economy at full employment

Recessionary Gap

  • Real GDP < potential GDP
  • Actual unemployment > natural rate
  • Resources underutilized
  • Downward pressure on wages and prices
  • SRAS will shift right as wages adjust (self-correction)
  • Or expansionary policy can close gap faster

Inflationary Gap

  • Real GDP > potential GDP
  • Actual unemployment < natural rate (overfull employment)
  • Resources overutilized, inflationary pressures
  • Upward pressure on wages and prices
  • SRAS will shift left as wages adjust (self-correction)
  • Or contractionary policy can prevent inflation

Demand Pull Inflation

  • Inflation caused by AD increasing faster than AS
  • "Too much money chasing too few goods"
  • AD shifts right while SRAS stable
  • Result: P up , Y up (in short run)
  • Characteristic of overheating economy

Cost Push Inflation

  • Inflation caused by SRAS decreasing
  • Rising input costs (wages, oil) push up prices
  • SRAS shifts left
  • Result: P up , Y down (stagflation)
  • Example: Oil price shocks

Stagflation

  • Combination of stagnation (high unemployment, low output) and inflation
  • Caused by negative supply shock (SRAS shifts left)
  • Example: 1970s oil crisis
  • Difficult for policymakers: expanding AD worsens inflation, contracting AD worsens unemployment
  • Supply-side policies needed to address

Self-correction Mechanism

  • Economy tends toward long-run equilibrium without policy intervention
  • Recessionary gap: unemployment above NRU -> downward wage pressure -> SRAS shifts right -> returns to potential GDP
  • Inflationary gap: unemployment below NRU -> upward wage pressure -> SRAS shifts left -> returns to potential GDP
  • Process can take years, causing prolonged unemployment or inflation

Wages Adjusting To Price Level

  • Nominal wages are sticky in short run (contracts, norms)
  • In long run, wages fully adjust to price level changes
  • Real wages determine employment and output
  • When prices rise but wages don't immediately adjust -> real wages fall -> employment and output rise
  • Eventually wages catch up -> real wages restored -> return to potential output

Expansionary Fiscal Policy

  • Used to combat recession (close recessionary gap)
  • Increase government spending (G up ) and/or decrease taxes (T down )
  • AD shifts right -> P up , Y up (short run)
  • Multiplier effect amplifies impact
  • Example: 2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment Act ($831 billion stimulus)

Contractionary Fiscal Policy

  • Used to combat inflation (close inflationary gap)
  • Decrease government spending (G down ) and/or increase taxes (T up )
  • AD shifts left -> P down , Y down (short run)
  • Reduces aggregate demand to cool overheating economy
  • Rarely used due to political unpopularity

Progressive Tax System

  • Tax rates increase as income increases
  • Automatically stabilizes economy:
  • Recession: incomes fall -> tax burden falls -> disposable income falls less than before
  • Expansion: incomes rise -> tax burden rises -> disposable income rises less than before
  • Reduces size of economic fluctuations
  • No legislative action required

Transfer Payments / Unemployment Benefits

  • Automatically increase during recession (more unemployed)
  • Automatically decrease during expansion (fewer unemployed)
  • Stabilizes disposable income and consumption
  • Example: unemployment insurance, food stamps, welfare
  • Countercyclical: moves opposite to business cycle
  • No need for new legislation during downturns